Anticoagulation in Patients at Risk of Falls: Markov Decision Analysis
One of the factors that has been a major deterrent for both patients and physicians to initiation of anticoagulation in older patients has been a perception that if patients are at risk of falls, they should not be anticoagulated. In the extreme case that is true, but what that “extreme” is has been a matter of study and debate.
An interesting analysis published several years ago showed that a patient would have to fall hundreds of times per year before optimal therapy with warfarin would represent a risk for serious bleeding (Figure 14).[16] That depends in part, of course, on the severity of the fall. If patients are falling and hitting their heads and having a subdural hemorrhage, obviously that is a different risk from someone who is merely stumbling a bit. Nonetheless physicians probably overestimate this risk because the patients may seem a bit unstable and are falling, and in doing so underestimate the risk of stroke that that older, likely frail patients have from their AFib.
References
Man-Son-Hing M, Nichol G, Lau A, Laupacis A. Choosing antithrombotic therapy for elderly patients with atrial fibrillation who are at risk for falls. Arch Intern Med. 1999;159:677-685.